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SanDisk/Samsung Combo Would Have Complications

September 5, 2008
by Eric Savitz
Blogger and Columnist, Barron's, Tech Trader Daily

Eric Savitz

While SanDisk (SNDK) shares continue to trade sharply higher after Samsung said it is considering making a bid for the company, some analysts are cautioning that the notion of merging the two companies is far from a sure thing, and would involve substantial complications.

Craig Ellis, an analyst with Citigroup, says he’s skeptical that Samsung would really want to buy the company, and finds the probability of a deal to be “low.” He notes that a deal would put an end to Samsung’s royalty payments to SanDisk for NAND flash, which he sees at $414 million in 2008, $309 million next year and $215 million in 2010; and it would provide Samsung with system memory patents on which SanDisk generates substantial royalties.

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